The client list

Power rankings

Every team ranked by a Kalman-filter rating: points better or worse than an average team on a neutral field. The bar shows the rating with its uncertainty, since early-season and fast-changing teams are less certain. Movement is the change since the previous week. Playoff odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, using the model's numbers for this week and these ratings for later weeks. NFL tiebreakers aren't modeled.